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Real Estate and Business Cycles:

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It doesn’t take much to start a business as far as jumping through hoops and requirements, but those few hoops are on fire over a pool of sharks and after taking a bath in gasoline and seal blood, you realize that it’s going to take some serious finesse to pull it off.

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The South Carolina National Heritage Corridor extends 240 miles across South Carolina, stretching from the mountains of Oconee County, along the Savannah River, to the port city of Charleston. Established by the U.S. Congress in 1996 as one of a select number of National Heritage Areas -- the 14 counties of the corridor offer a cross-section of the state's history, culture, and natural landscapes.

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The real-estate cycle in the U.S. can be summarized with the following table2:
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Blustein, Paul. "Japanese Real Estate Prices Finally Start

After the Civil War, "Chicago shared the zeal for public improvements with many American cities". These included sewers, street paving, lamp posts, and bridges. "Lavish expenditures for improvements, and some political corruption, were blended in the land boom that culminated in 1873" (Hoyt, 1933, p. 88). Post Civil-War land values gained impetus near parks and boulevards. One contemporary writer noted that "the city acceded to the demand of every real estate speculator who asked for improvements" (p. 117). The value of real estate was often raised on the strength of projected improvements. By 1873, business profits were receding. Wages declined. Land values halted their advance. The stock market crashed, and commercial failures brought on the Panic of 1873.

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The next real estate cycle was underway as the long-awaited Chicago canal opened in 1848. The Illinois Central Railroad secured a land grant of 2.5 million acres from Congress in 1850. The city constructed plank roads, sidewalks, gas lights, sewers, and bridges. "Plank roads contributed greatly to the rise of land values" (Hoyt, 1933, p. 64). The ease of borrowing money from the new state banks again encouraged real estate speculation. There was also a rapid rise in land values in San Francisco; "speculation carried it beyond prudent heights" (Sakolski, 1932, p. 258). In the summer of 1857, a financial panic began, starting in New York. (Land values had collapsed earlier in California.) Overspeculation in western lands and too-rapid railroad building were blamed. Banks suspended specie payments. A depression followed in 1858. Most holders of real estate hung firmly to the peak prices of 1856, but by 1859, land values had dropped sharply to half or more than the previous levels.

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Homer Hoyt remarked that the real estate cycle in Chicago from 1918 to 1933 was "as perfect a cycle as the cycle theorist could ask for" (1970, p. 527). During this time there occurred a remarkable reversal in the relative position of urban and rural real estate. The prices of American farm products had more than doubled from 1914 to 1918. The value of American farm land doubled from 1900 to 1910 and doubled again from 1910 to 1920, reaching $55 billion (Hoyt, 1933, p. 234; cf. Hicks, 1961, p. 70).

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In March 1926, the New York stock market took its worse dive since 1920. During 1925, $500 million of northern capital had poured into Florida real estate, where speculation was most extreme (Thomas, 1977, p. 208). In the fall of 1926, the Florida land boom collapsed, dampening speculative activity in other areas.

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